Kerry Wins!
posted November 3, 2004
I have confidence in this. I’ve estimated that the huge amount of newly-registered Democratic voters will turn out in unprecedented numbers and make the difference in the election, despite the best efforts of the RNC to organize numerous schemes to prevent them from voting. My calculation was Kerry 279 and Bush 259, but it may be even stronger for Kerry.
We have been in Kurashiki in Okayama for a couple days. Kurashiki was a storehouse (“kura”) town, and many of these old buildings still stand (it would take a lot to knock one down.), with ceramic tiles arranged in white plaster in fancy patterns. Kurashiki also has Tivoi Park, a branch of the world’s oldest amusement park in Copenhagen, Denmark.
I am crossing my fingers and hoping you are right. I voted early (last Thursday).
Voting was very heavy this morning in the DC metro area and in other parts of the country. From what has been reported in exit polling, this one may be a real squeaker
FYI:
http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/CNBCTV/Articles/Dispatches/P99266.asp
Mehyar
Kyoto
Yes, please let this happen. Kerry has to win or the world will go down in flames.
Eh, Kurashiki Tivoli Park? Interesting…
I hope he wins too, even though I’m a Canadian I’m rooting for the guy. Right now it’s 237 Bush and 199 Kerry. Sigh..
Ain’t over yet. Apparently we’re waiting for all the votes to come in.
I kinda don’t want to look, though. I’m a Kerry supporter and what I’ve heard is very disappointing so far…
While Kerry refuses to concede, indications are Bush has another term. Even if this does not turn out to be the case, the Democrats have lost more ground in both houses of congress, which would not make for a shoo-in for the Kerry legislative agenda.
I enjoyed your predictions -fortunately, very off the mark – concerning the results of our presidential election.
Enjoy your visit to Japan.
Wm. Charles sr,md
Another point to consider is that even if a statistical miracle were to occur for Kerry and give him the electoral college, at this time Bush has more than 4 million more popular votes than Kerry. I think this is important because in the 2000 elections, the Gore supporters were (and still are) in an uproar over the 250,000 vote advantage he had.
If the electoral college were to go to Kerry while the House, Senate and overwhelming margin of popular vote went to the Republicans, Kerry’s ability to lead the country would be severely hadnicapped.
Kerry lost. America lost. The world lost. I can’t freakin’ believe it. All those states went for Bush? Have you noticed that nothereastern, west coast and a few Great Lakes states–those that are progressive and enlightened–chose Kerry? I’m from Chicago, where Illinois chose Gore in 2000 and Kerry in 2004. I voted and I’m extremely disappointed, frustrated and pissed off. Four more years of what–my country being held hostage by this ultraconservative marriage of church and state and the righteous fist of the FCC? What about stem-cell research? In the trash. The environment? Cut down. The economy? Kicked to the curb. The political climate? I ask you.
And before I forget again…
(And please note that I am a Libertarian, not a Republican.)
Nils comment “despite the best efforts of the RNC to organize numerous schemes to prevent them from voting” Seems to have been more descriptive of the Democrats this election. I live in the Milwaukee area and we made the national news. The tires were slashed on over 30 vehicles at the Republican headquarters that were rented to help ferry their voters to the polls. We also had Democrats trying to register felons as voters and an ongoing issue with registration of fictitious voters at fraudulent addresses.
This falls in line with the Democrats efforts nationally to do things like keep Nader off the ballot in some states. (And no, Nader isn’t a Libertarian and I would not vote for him ;)
My guy (Badnarik) was crushed, of course. But I wasn’t impressed with how the Democrats conducted their campaign in Wisconsin this time around. I think this may have contributed to the closer than usual vote for president here.
I would second the comments by Badger. I witnessed the willful, repeated destruction of Bush campaign signs posted on private property, in one intance, not only were the signs vandalized, but the home owner’s mailbox was destroyed (duh, federal offense dude). This was/is wrong. No matter what one’s political inclinations are, everyone (in the U.S. at least) has the right to express their opinions without threat or harassment, a point some Kerrites seem to have lost sight of.
Absolutely, anyone who destroyed signs, slashed tires or tried to make improper registrations should be condemned and punished. But remember, Republicans were organizing and doing it AT THE PARTY LEVEL, AS POLICY, registering people and throwning away Dem registrations, telephoning people to tell them to go to the wrong polling place.
nils, do you have proof that the Republicans were organizing and doing it AT THE PARTY LEVEL, AS POLICY? I believe that you meant the Democrats!
There is an article stating “the Democrats and an independent group, America Coming Together, which supports Senator Kerry, have been contacting Republicans and giving them incorrect information about polling locations and other Election Day issues.” NY Times, 11/2/04
A blogger also received at least half a dozen telephone calls from his/her local Kerry campaign asking to talk to people who’ve never lived in that home (all different people) – a case of voter registration fraud using the same phone number.
In CA, “Hench said dead Republicans this year have been registered to vote Democrat, Democrats have been registered on cards pre-marked Republican, and registrations have been fabricated altogether” RecordNet, 10/04
In Ohio, more voter fraud by supposedly nonpartisan groups (remember Jeffrey Dahmer registered along with Mary Poppins!): “Elections officials in Lake County, just east of Cleveland, last month began investigating the group and an anti-Bush group called Americans Coming Together, or ACT Ohio, for hundreds of suspicious registration forms and absentee ballot requests.
Among them was one, submitted by the NAACP Voter Fund, for a man who’d been dead for more than two decades” Blade, 10/04
I could find more instances where voter fraud is linked to the Democrats or orgs who support the Democrats.
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